From The Mavi Marmara: Happy Anniversary Iran!

[S]ince 2001, Iran has improved its geostrategic position more than almost any other country in the world, and it has done so based almost entirely on the blunders of others...As with virtually every major regional event since 2001, the Iranians will need only to sit back without firing a single shot to come out on top.

The Gaza Flotilla captured world attention 2 weeks ago with the ambush of Israeli soldiers aboard one of the ships: the Mavi Marmara.

And Iran could not be more pleased:

Better than anything Iran could have hoped for, the flotilla incident threatens to complicate the sanctions push in the UN. Washington Turkey expert Soner Cagaptay predicts that where Turkey would have likely abstained on an Iran sanctions vote, it may now vote nay. “Turkey is now freer to vote with its heart on Iran sanctions,” he said, “which means that Turkish-US relations are heading towards a major crisis if we don’t end up defusing the storm gathering over Iran sanctions.”

All of this comes as great news to Iran. The Israeli raid and the resulting international backlash have distracted from the Iranian nuclear issue. On Monday the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) published a harsh report on the lack of cooperation with the agency and Iranian efforts to acquire equipment that would give it the capacity to enrich uranium at higher levels. The report received little media coverage having been overshadowed by the flotilla incident.

Other recent developments can only be cause for celebration in Tehran. Washington’s mild condemnation of Israel puts the Obama administration in an awkward position in which it can’t possibly please everyone. Turkey’s recent statements that it would provide naval escort to humanitarian ships sending aid to Gaza will also only prolong this whole circus, with a chance of more violence or confrontation. All of this amounts to a miracle for the mullahcracy in Tehran, only days before the anniversary of the election.

To be accurate, this is not an issue of exploiting the blunders of others--there have been incidents of a destabilizing nature that Iran has continued to be able to take advantage of.

Knowing about these in advance, if not directly causing them, would certainly enable Iran to use these events to its own best advantage.

Technorati Tag: Iran.