Now Barry Rubin writes that the Syrian regime, if deposed, might not even make it out of the country:
As for Syria, can anyone tell us why the Syrian army will stand by the regime? Okay, I’ll do it. Syria is run by the Alawite minority who simply aren’t real Muslims but pretend to be Shia when that suits them. The Alawites know that a revolution would almost certainly produce an Islamist takeover and certainly a Sunni Muslim one. And such a regime would line a lot of the Alawites up against a wall and…bang, bang, bang.Not to mention the Islamists who might want to take revenge for the massacre in Hama.
That’s a good incentive for shooting down unarmed demonstrators. Kill or be killed.
Technorati Tag: Syria.
The Syrian regime is moving to open the pressure valves to let off social steam.
ReplyDeleteBut on the all important question of who wields power, it has shown no signs of retreat.
And if it feels threatened, it won't hesitate to kill tens of thousands to remain in power.
There is no Damascus Spring in sight yet.