PSR - Survey Research Unit: Poll No. 19 - Main Results in Numbers
PSR poll No. 19
16-18 March 2006
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 06) Given the results of PLC elections which took place about two months ago, some say that Hamas won because most voters wanted first and foremost (select one only): | |||
| 1) a fighting authority that resists occupation | 6.7 | 6.9 | 6.4 |
| 2) a clean authority that fights corruption | 35.6 | 36.4 | 34.3 |
| 3) a strong authority that ends anarchy and chaos | 9.4 | 9.2 | 9.7 |
| 4) an Islamic authority that rules according to Sharia and religion | 36.6 | 35.4 | 38.7 |
| 5) other reasons: specify ---- | 9.3 | 10.1 | 7.8 |
| 6) DK/NA | 2.4 | 2.1 | 3.0 |
| First of all, who is "some say"? Are these people being asked what they themselves think or what they think the general attitude of Palestinians is? Secondly, according to the answers to this question the majority of those polled are evenly divided between voting for Hamas because they want Sharia law and an end to corruption--and less than 7% voted for Hamas as an anti-Israel move. Very nice and good PR. Less than 10% voted to end the chaos and anarchy--how would they vote now? | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 07) Some say that Fateh Lost these elections because most voters first and foremost (select only) | |||
| 1) punished it for the failure of the peace process | 5.1 | 5.2 | 4.8 |
| 2) punished it for the spread of corruption in the PA | 51.9 | 53.8 | 48.6 |
| 3) punished it for its inability to put an end to anarchy and chaos | 17.2 | 14.8 | 21.3 |
| 4) it was divided leaderless | 18.9 | 19.5 | 17.8 |
| 5) other reasons: specify ----- | 3.7 | 3.5 | 4.0 |
| 6) DK/NA | 3.3 | 3.2 | 3.4 |
| No surprise that Fatah lost because of corruption. About 5% voted against Fatah because of failure in pursuing peace *What was not offered as an option: "punished for taking part in negotiations with Israel." Gaza was much more concerned about the anarchy in voting against Fatah--but there is less of a gap in anarchy being a reason to vote for Hamas. Why? (I should have taken statistics in college...) | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 10) The PLO and the PA have recognized the state of Israel as part of the peace process which was based on the Oslo Agreement. Hamas refused and still refuses to recognize Israel. What do you think? Now that it has won the elections, should Hamas recognize or not recognize the state of Israel? | |||
| 1) It should recognize the state of Israel | 35.7 | 36.3 | 34.7 |
| 2) It should not recognize the state of Israel | 60.8 | 59.6 | 63.0 |
| 3) DK/NA | 3.5 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| Let's not quibble over the fact that the PLO Charter still does not recognize Israel. The fact is that a healthy share of Palestinians don't want Hamas to recognize Israel--see next question. | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 12) For the assistance to continue, the donor community demand that Hamas must recognize the state of Israel. Do you think Hamas should accept this demand and recognize Israel? | |||
| 1) Certainly yes | 11.6 | 11.4 | 12.1 |
| 2) yes | 25.5 | 24.8 | 26.6 |
| 3) no | 42.0 | 44.0 | 38.5 |
| 4) certainly no | 17.2 | 16.0 | 19.5 |
| 5) DK/NA | 3.7 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
| I assume this means that under duress some Palestinians will begrudgingly be willing to recognize Israel. A large chunk still do not. You can't negotiate in good faith with a country that you do not recognize...unless you're a Palestinian Arab. | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 17) If Israel agrees to conduct peace negotiations with a Hamas-led PA, do you think the Hamas-led PA should or should not negotiate with Israel? | |||
| 1) certainly it should negotiate | 26.2 | 26.1 | 26.3 |
| 2) it should negotiate | 48.9 | 51.1 | 45.0 |
| 3) it should not negotiate | 16.7 | 15.3 | 19.2 |
| 4) certainly it should not negotiate | 5.2 | 3.9 | 7.5 |
| 5) DK/NA | 3.0 | 3.6 | 2.0 |
| But what do they mean by negotiating? Bottom line, would Palestinian Arabs be willing to make any kind of concessions? If so, what and under what circumstances. I can't help but think that negotiations for the Palestinian Arabs is just negotiated concessions. They have never show the political maturity to indicate they see it as anything else. | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 19) Are you worried or not worried about your personal freedom now that Hamas has won the elections? | |||
| 1) very worried | 8.1 | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| 2) worried | 22.2 | 21.4 | 23.7 |
| 3) not worried | 43.3 | 45.8 | 39.0 |
| 4) not worried at all | 25.4 | 24.4 | 27.0 |
| 5) DK/NA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| See the first question, where a little more than a third voted for Sharia law. Do the Palestinian Arabs really know what they are getting themselves into? | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 21) We would like to ask you about your expectations from the PLC you had just elected. Do you want it to | |||
| 1) implement the Road Map Plan | 53.0 | 49.9 | 58.5 |
| 2) not to implement the Road Map Plan | 39.7 | 42.0 | 35.6 |
| 3) DK/ NA | 7.3 | 8.1 | 5.9 |
| Okay, so the majority want the Road Map to be continued to be followed, and a majority are in favor of negotiations--but 60% are opposed to recognizing Israel. | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 22) And with regard to the arms in the hands of the armed factions, do you want it to: | |||
| 1) to pass laws to collect arms from all armed groups whereby the PA security services would be the only armed force in PA areas? | 49.3 | 45.1 | 56.6 |
| 2) to pass laws to keep arms of the armed factions in the hands of the armed factions | 27.1 | 27.0 | 27.2 |
| 3) not to interfere in the issue of the arms of the factions | 20.8 | 23.8 | 15.5 |
| 4) DK/NA | 2.8 | 4.1 | 0.7 |
| If you combine 2 & 3 they are almost even divided on the question of allowing armed factions to keep their arms--which seems to jive with their apparent lack of concern for "anarchy and chaos". Don't they read the news? | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 23) What do you expect to happen to the Palestinians and Israelis now that Hamas has won Palestinian elections? | |||
| 1) Negotiations will resume soon enough and armed confrontations will stop | 17.8 | 16.5 | 20.1 |
| 2) Negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue | 40.8 | 37.4 | 46.8 |
| 3) Armed confrontations will not stop and the two sides will not return to negotiations | 34.1 | 37.7 | 27.8 |
| 4) DK/NA | 7.3 | 8.4 | 5.3 |
| The majority agree that the future holds more bloodshed | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
| 25) Would you welcome or not welcome a further Israeli disengagements and withdrawals in the West Bank whether they were unilateral or by agreement? | |||
| 1) definitely welcome | 32.0 | 27.3 | 40.3 |
| 2) welcome | 53.9 | 56.2 | 49.9 |
| 3) do not welcome | 10.3 | 11.6 | 8.0 |
| 4) definitely do not welcome | 2.2 | 2.7 | 1.4 |
| 5) DK/NA | 1.6 | 2.2 | 0.5 |
| The majority of Palestinian Arabs welcome the idea of more unilateral disengagements--and why shouldn't they? | |||
| Total | West Bank | Gaza Strip | |
Technorati Tag: Israel and Hamas and Fatah.
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