Fact Sheets #60: Nuclear Proliferation in the Mideast

By Mitchell Bard:

Fact Sheets #60: Nuclear Proliferation in the Mideast
(May 28, 2008)

While the immediate focus of international attention has been on stopping Iran from obtaining the ability to build nuclear weapons, an equally worrisome development is that the Iranian drive to obtain a nuclear bomb has stimulated a regional race for nuclear technology to counter the perceived threat from a nuclear Iran. Like Iran, the 12 Middle East countries (Saudi Arabia, Algeria, Egypt, Jordan, Morocco, Tunisia, Turkey, Syria, Yemen, Iraq, Libya, and the Gulf Cooperation Council) that have either announced plans to explore atomic energy or signed nuclear cooperation agreements, say they are only interested in peaceful uses of nuclear technology, but the fear is that some or all may follow the Iranian example and work toward building a bomb.

These are some of the disturbing recent developments:

Egypt

* Egypt announced in September 2006 it would revive long dormant plans to construct a nuclear power plant.
* Russia (which is close to completing Iran’s first nuclear facility in Bushehr) and Egypt signed a nuclear cooperation accord in March 2008.
* Egypt plans to develop four nuclear power plants over the next decade.

Saudi Arabia

* U.S. and Saudi Arabia agreed to establish a nuclear cooperation relationship in May 2008.
* U.S. will help with the development of civilian nuclear energy in Saudi Arabia in an environmentally responsible manner.
* Saudi Arabia will join the Proliferation Security Initiative (PSI).

UAE

* UAE and U.S. signed an agreement in April 2008 to establish peaceful nuclear energy cooperation.
* The agreement with the U.S. follows the public launch of a UAE policy document outlining potential development of a domestic nuclear power plant.
* UAE signed a nuclear framework agreement with France for cooperation in the use of nuclear energy for peaceful, civilian purposes.
* In January 2008, UAE signed a deal with a French company to build two nuclear reactors.

Qatar

* Qatar announced in April 2008 a plan to build a nuclear plant.
* Qatar sent experts to a meeting of the IAEA in Vienna in May 2008.
* Qatar is actively involved in the GCC decision made in December 2006 to pursue nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.

GCC

* The GCC states (Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Qatar, UAE and Oman) are currently undertaking a joint feasibility study into a nuclear energy program.
* Some GCC states have shown interest in developing their own national programs.

Algeria

* Algeria has one of the most advanced nuclear-science programs in the Arab world and is considering the role that nuclear power might play in its domestic energy mix.

Yemen

* Yemen announced plans in 2007 to purchase a nuclear reactor, despite being one of the poorest countries in the Arab world.

These Middle East nations are clearly increasingly apprehensive about the threat of a nuclear Iran and the failure of the international community to take decisive actions to prevent Tehran from achieving its nuclear ambitions. If the West is going to protect its interests in the region and beyond, and prevent the proliferation of nuclear weapons, it is vital now that Iran be stopped and steps taken to rein in these new efforts to join the nuclear club.

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