Tuesday, June 02, 2009

Ahmadinejad's Opponent Has A Secret Weapon

Mir Hossein Mousavi is giving Ahmadinejad a run for his money:
The fiery incumbent, President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, appears to be losing ground to a more pragmatic and experienced rival, former prime minister Mir Hossein Mousavi. China's Xinhua news agency reported May 27 that a recent poll showed Mousavi leading in 10 major Iranian cities, by a margin of 38 percent to 34 percent. Another poll, conducted by Iran's IRIB state television network, showed Mousavi ahead among Tehran voters, 47 percent to 43 percent.

An Iranian political expert who visited Washington several weeks ago flatly predicted a Mousavi victory and a new coalition government that would pull together the center-right and the center-left.
On the other hand, Ahmadinejad does still have an advantage.
Hold the huzzahs for the moment, though: Iranian polls are highly unreliable, and the incumbent has enormous advantages in the closing days of the campaign. "Though Ahmadinejad has profoundly mismanaged the economy, he's still got to be the favorite," argues Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. "I don't trust any of the polls," he warns, noting that they failed to predict Ahmadinejad's victory in 2005.
Well, Ahmadinejad may have an advantage as the incumbent, but the Washington Post article neglects to mention one important advantage that Mousavi has going for him:

Mousavi has a Facebook Account!
And a YouTube Account!
Let's face it: would you 'friend' Ahmadinejad?

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