Monday, January 20, 2014

Geneva Agreement With Iran Encourages Arab World To Appease Iranian Ambitions in Middle East

The following by Daniel Pipes is reposted here with permission:

Has Iran Gained a Foothold in the Arabian Peninsula?

by Daniel Pipes
January 15, 2014
Cross-posted from National Review Online, The Corner

According to a sensational report by Awad Mustafa in DefenseNews, a Gannett publication, not only has Tehran signed an agreement with the United Arab Emirates over three disputed islands near the Strait of Hormuz, but it has also reached a possibly even more important accord with the government of Oman. Both of these agreements have vast implications for the oil trade, the world economy, and Iranian influence.
According an unnamed "high level UAE source," secretive talks taking place over six months led to a deal on the Greater and Lesser Tunbs finalized on Dec. 24: "For now, two of the three islands are to return to the UAE while the final agreement for Abu Musa is being ironed out. Iran will retain the sea bed rights around the three islands while the UAE will hold sovereignty over the land."
This is big news, but yet bigger potentially is the source's stating that "Oman will grant Iran a strategic location on Ras Musandam mountain, which is a very strategic point overlooking the whole gulf region. In return for Ras Musandam, Oman will receive free gas and oil from Iran once a pipeline is constructed within the coming two years."
Both agreements center around the Strait of Hormuz, the world's most important oil passageway and vulnerability.
  • The UAE deal involves the tiny but strategic islands of Abu Musa and the Greater and Lesser Tunbs near the straits, occupied by Iranian forces since 1971, just as the UAE emerged as an independent country.
  • It's not clear what granting to the Iranians "a strategic location on Ras Musandam mountain" means but Musandam is the very tip of the Straits of Hormuz and Tehran wiinning access to any sort of military position there could enhance their ability to block the oil trade as well as make trouble on the peninsula.
Oman's territory includes two non-contiguous areas, one of which is Musandam at the Straits of Hormuz.
Oman's role in facilitating the UAE-Iran talks, says the source, was approved by Washington: "Oman was given the green light from Iran and the US to reach deals that would decrease the threat levels in the region and offset the Saudi Arabian influence in the future by any means."
(1) As if the Joint Plan of Action announced by the P5+1 and Tehran on Nov. 24 were not a disaster on the nuclear issue, it is also encouraging regioinal governments to appease the bellicose and ambitious Iranian regime.
(2) That the Obama administration seeks to "offset" Saudi influence with Iranian influence sounds unlikely – but given the geniuses occupying the White House these days, who knows? (January 15, 2014)

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