Reza Khalili is the pseudonym for a former CIA operative in Iran’s Revolutionary Guards who now serves on the Task Force on National and Homeland Security, who writes:
Iranian and U.S. negotiators have reached an agreement that calls for Iran to halt part of its nuclear program in exchange for the lifting of many of the U.S. sanctions against the Islamic regime, according to a highly placed source.According to the story:
Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, expects a letter from President Obama in a few days guaranteeing the details of the agreement, arrived at recently during secret negotiations in Doha, Qatar.
The source, who remains anonymous for security reasons and is highly placed in Iran’s regime, said that once Khamenei receives Obama’s guarantees, he will authorize an announcement by Iran on a solution to the nuclear crisis before the U.S. presidential elections.
- Iran will announce a temporary halt to partial uranium enrichment
- In return, the U.S. will remove many of its sanctions
- Iran will not halt its enrichment unless it receives Obama’s written guarantees
- The guarantees would spell out Iran’s right to peaceful enrichment
- The U.S. would also announce that the killing of Iranian nuclear scientists was the work of a foreign country, though Israel would not be named, in order to increase legal pressure on Israel.
As an added incentive for Iran to agree to the deal, Obama points to Israel:
According to the Iranian source, a previous Obama letter to Khamenei indicated that it’s best for the regime not to give any motive to Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, a message that was re-emphasized in the Qatar negotiations.This would not be the first time Obama has used Israel as a club.
Back in 2009, Obama used the threat of an Israeli attack on Iran to reign in China:
The Chinese were told that Israel regards Iran's nuclear program as an "existential issue and that countries that have an existential issue don't listen to other countries," according to a senior administration official. The implication was clear: Israel could bomb Iran, leading to a crisis in the Persian Gulf region and almost inevitably problems over the very oil China needs to fuel its economic juggernaut, said the official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity.If indeed the threat of Israeli force was used to force the issue with Iran, then that is another proof for those who write that Iran's Economic Instability Doesn't Mean Sanctions Working.
I don't know how much truth, there is to the story -- but if it is true, it raises some questions:
- Did Obama try some sort of deal like this before -- and if not, why not?
- Just what does it say about the Obama administration that fear of Israel can be used to persuade Iran, but fear of US force cannot?
- Isn't this a support of what Israel has said all along -- that the convincing threat of force is more effective than endless talks?
- Is it actually possible for the US and Iran to come to an agreement of this sort without either of them appearing to lose face or seem weak in the eyes of the Muslim world?
If the story is not true, one has to wonder what the Obama campaign will come up with to salvage Obama's chances for re-election.
Hat tip: VR
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